Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.058879 0.069689 0.081808 0.096386 0.113430 0.132711 0.156163
2025-05-04 0.042391 0.056343 0.073756 0.097018 0.127204 0.164974 0.215738
2025-05-11 0.033171 0.048277 0.068775 0.098468 0.140203 0.196577 0.278269
2025-05-18 0.027707 0.043479 0.066409 0.101909 0.155167 0.231702 0.349545
2025-05-25 0.022172 0.037211 0.060459 0.098633 0.159275 0.251275 0.400602
2025-06-01 0.018698 0.033324 0.057203 0.098511 0.167532 0.277341 0.463987
2025-06-08 0.015772 0.029720 0.053670 0.097137 0.173204 0.299584 0.523592
2025-06-15 0.014024 0.027803 0.052575 0.099535 0.185217 0.333230 0.605620
2025-06-22 0.012087 0.025169 0.049749 0.098328 0.190569 0.355931 0.671284
2025-06-29 0.010328 0.022546 0.046498 0.095762 0.192927 0.373359 0.729259
2025-07-06 0.008807 0.020121 0.043226 0.092605 0.193601 0.387548 0.782573
2025-07-13 0.008005 0.019070 0.042526 0.094436 0.204175 0.421417 0.876901
2025-07-20 0.007178 0.017844 0.041326 0.095165 0.212834 0.453010 0.971435
2025-07-27 0.006432 0.016672 0.040071 0.095601 0.220973 0.484584 1.069854
2025-08-03 0.005849 0.015782 0.039302 0.096991 0.231322 0.521849 1.184323
2025-08-10 0.005460 0.015302 0.039401 0.100375 0.246528 0.571070 1.329776
2025-08-17 0.004738 0.013825 0.036877 0.097144 0.246073 0.586057 1.401870
2025-08-24 0.004274 0.012949 0.035700 0.097024 0.252924 0.618078 1.515706
2025-08-31 0.003808 0.011980 0.034131 0.095670 0.256563 0.643074 1.616051
2025-09-07 0.003556 0.011580 0.033999 0.098033 0.269788 0.692013 1.778108
2025-09-14 0.003190 0.010769 0.032619 0.096843 0.273719 0.718984 1.890074
2025-09-21 0.002820 0.009871 0.030850 0.094314 0.273776 0.736385 1.980309
2025-09-28 0.002476 0.008987 0.028977 0.091203 0.271834 0.748492 2.058497